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CII Biz Confidence Index on a record high

By Niranjan Mudholkar,

Added 26 September 2018

Reflects positivity about sustained growth prospects

The significant uptick in the index, for the fourth consecutive quarter, is an indicator that business sentiment is upbeat.

In an indication of rising confidence about the future growth trajectory and business prospects, companies are more than just optimistic about the return of good times during the second quarter of FY19. This finds a reflection in the CII Business Confidence Index (BCI) which has touched the series high of 64.9 as against 60.1 in the last quarter. The significant uptick in the index, for the fourth consecutive quarter, is an indicator that business sentiment is upbeat.

Commenting on the stellar rise in Business Confidence, Chandrajit Banerjee, Director General, CII said "there is a definite improvement in the tempo of business activity, powered by expectations of improved consumption and investment growth. A steep rise in business confidence reflects positive vibes within industry about the business environment. It underscores the hope that the facilitative government policies would result in faster rise in output and new orders which would spawn a host of business opportunities for firms and business units both in India and abroad."

These findings are a part of CII's 104th edition of quarterly Business Outlook Survey, which was based on nearly 200 responses from large, medium, small and micro firms, covering all regions of the country.

The improvement in the index this quarter has been led by a rise in both the Current Situation Index and the Expectation Index and is a testimony to a sharp improvement in sentiment in the respondents about the overall economic activity as well as the activity in their own company.

Amidst indications that our economy is on the cusp of a turnaround, nearly two-thirds of respondents (64 percent) opine that GDP growth will lie in the range of 6.5-7.5% in 2018-19. Among them, a large proportion (36 percent) expect GDP growth to lie in the range of 7.0-7.5% while about 28 percent foresee GDP growth in the 6.5-7.0% range.

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