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WB holds India's growth forecast steady at 7.6%

By Niranjan Mudholkar,

Added 08 June 2016

Cuts overall 2016 Global forecast to 2.4%; China down at 6.7% from 6.9% last year

Commodity-importing emerging markets and developing economies have been more resilient than exporters, although the benefits of lower prices for energy and other commodities have been slow to materialize. These economies are forecast to expand at a 5.8 percent rate in 2016, down modestly from the 5.9 percent pace estimated for 2015, as low energy prices and the modest recovery in advanced economies support economic activity.

A significant increase in private sector credit - fueled by an era of low interest rates and, more recently, rising financing needs - raise potential risks for several emerging market and developing economies, the report finds.

"As advanced economies struggle to gain traction, most economies in South and East Asia are growing solidly, as are commodity-importing emerging economies around the world," said World Bank Chief Economist and Senior Vice President Kaushik Basu.

"However, one development that bears caution is the rapid rise of private debt in several emerging and developing economies. In the wake of a borrowing boom, it is not uncommon to find non-performing bank loans, as a share of gross loans, to quadruple."
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